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Major Recession Fears Just Hit (Here’s What’s Driving Them)

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TL;DR

Full Story

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana all shed insane quantities of worth final week.

Why? Bear with us as we cook dinner for a second…

Think about if an plane had a 5 minute delay on any steering changes made by the pilot…

(It’d make flying Spirit, or any Boeing airplane, that a lot scarier).

Weirdly sufficient — that’s sort of how the Federal Reserve pilots the US economic system with rate of interest changes.

Each time they tweak rates of interest, it takes — look forward to it…

Eighteen entire months for the consequences to indicate within the economic system.

Which suggests when financial knowledge begins flashing warning alerts, it’s usually too late, and the Fed can’t alter rapidly sufficient to stem any bleeds.

Over the previous yr or so, the Fed has been attempting to string a needle that appears like this:

Weaken the economic system sufficient in order that we don’t enter hyperinflation…whereas additionally avoiding a recession (aka: pull off a ‘smooth touchdown’).

Which is kinda like attempting to fillet a fish with a hammer.

A few month again, we began to see indicators that the economic system was weakening, although solely mildly — which is sweet if we would like a smooth touchdown.

…however over the previous week, we noticed indicators that this financial weakening is accelerating, with knowledge that confirmed payrolls had been decreasing whereas unemployment was growing at a a lot quicker fee than anticipated.

With that worry got here a grueling market unload.

BTC dumped from ~$70k to ~$57.1k, ETH took a dive from ~$3.4k to ~$2.6k, and Solana shed worth from ~$193 all the way down to ~$130.

Alright, now you understand.



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